Sunday, March 30, 2008

Chris Blattman posts from Liberia

From his recent post:
"Today we sat down with an inter-faith network of Liberian religious leaders to talk about their peace building plans. They are a truly inspiring organization, building local capacity to resolve conflicts, and training mediators to resolve disputes in the community. The countryside is, to some extent, a powder keg, and they are building local early warning systems and rapid response capability to potentially serious conflicts.

Moreover, to reduce tensions in conflict-prone places, these religious leaders--principally Muslims and Christians--do not just aspire to a new social contract, they sit down with ethnic and religious leaders in each village and coax them to actually write one, specifying norms and sanctions.

And they want to know if it's working.

I hum and haw about comparison groups, going through my impact evaluation 101 schpiel. I have serious concerns that one would or could develop a control group, let alone randomize, for such a program. So I dance delicately around the subject.

"Wait a minute," interrupts the Imam, "Are you talking about a randomized control trial?"

I gape.

Oh I see!" says one Reverend Minister, "We need a control group! This is a good idea.""
This is the fourth of his recent posts from Liberia.

P.S.This post of Chris Blattman has also been mentioned by Guru, The Bayesian Heresy ,Dani Rodrik. Guru gives links to program evaluation.

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